Foresight
Political Analysis or Fortune-Telling by Crystal-Ball? Western Think Tanks' Challenges with Forecasting Putin's War
"Political Analysis or Fortune-Telling by Crystal-Ball? Western Think Tanks' Challenges with Forecasting Putin's War." Connections: The Quarterly Journal 21, no. 3 (2022): 9-28. 
21.3.30_fortune-telling.pdf — Downloaded 1192 times
Introduction
The war in Ukraine revealed the ugly face of a Russia resembling a quasi-empire. This image was barely discussed in academia.
21.3.30_fortune-telling.pdf — Downloaded 1192 timesScenario and ambitions for managing a trans-border political-military crisis: Implications for Bulgaria’s Defence Policy
Scenario and ambitions for managing a trans-border political-military crisis: Implications for Bulgaria’s Defence Policy In CSDM Views., 2015. views_030.pdf — Downloaded 6382 times
views_030.pdf — Downloaded 6382 timesMethodology for developing scenarios and context scenarios for defense planning
"Methodology for developing scenarios and context scenarios for defense planning." In Methodology and scenarios for defense planning. Sofia: Ministry of Defence, Directorate "Defence Policy", Military Publishing House, 2007.
Expanded Capability Portfolios to Steer Force Development under Strategic Uncertainty
"Expanded Capability Portfolios to Steer Force Development under Strategic Uncertainty." In Specialist Meeting on Capability-Based Long Term Planning. Oslo, 2008.